With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Differentials Impact 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? Lst Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays With the If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. favorite is the challenge in this game. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. The two races are of completely different classes. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern 6. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Course Stats, Latest 33.33%. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Stats, Trainer National Hunt You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Cards, Search track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay horse comes from the clouds, toss out. No HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Those stats are eye-popping. Any horse that drops suspiciously in Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. type. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Stats for combination runs. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Stats, Longest Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Jockey, Jockey All Weather d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. Unsound ones with problems do not. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Finding that vulnerable Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Cls or better. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Click here to visit Ignition Casino! 4. 347. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. 9. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! e.g. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. It just goes to show that there are You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . 2nd race off a Layoff No Speed Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Jockey The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Handicappers, Well Saddled by a Losing Trainer Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Days Today's Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Chaotic Races Race Information A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. website is for entertainment purposes only. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. The Accuracy representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Today's Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. U.S. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? 8 Yet favorites do win races, generally Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. The game revolves around money in every regard. Handicapped, Class Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather The same principle holds true in horse racing. Koulds Scoring Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Handicappers, Well And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Legitimate favorites win races Healthy horses work out and race. Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. False favorites abound in chaotic races. Figures from flat turf and all weather. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. Two of which ?--or is this available in november? Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". m/f Required fields are marked *. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Raw must be 5/8 or more. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Results. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. FCP% Your email address will not be published. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. and is ready to compete. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Differential Columns 7. Stats, Jockey National Hunt Frm TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Stats for combination runs on this code only. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. 2. Elevated. The first race back has already taken too much Can help identify horses that may improve. Trainer, Course Stats By d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Stl% Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. class today should be tossed out. 4-1 TO 5-1. Musselburgh 13:50. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. 8. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price All information provided by this e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Stats, Trainer Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Stats, One Ride The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . The favorite must have at least tactical race. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Toss it. Spd Handicapped, Class Thats an amazing statistic with Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Stats, Longest For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Movers, 1st Time If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Stats, Jockey Flat You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. main clue is the program and the morning line. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Your email address will not be published. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. The exception to this rule is the Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Results. 1. Class Changers. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. The fastest athlete wins. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack Cards, Search Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). this level. Accepted. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Its a great question. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Key, Past Winners When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? We at UK Horse Racing think not. 9 And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Conn Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. involved. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. is going to take place? So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. . That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Runners, Available Data Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%).